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Weekly Update 10 Jan 2025

via PricedInGold.com by editor@pricedingold.com (Charles Vollum) on Mon, 13 Jan 2025 17:09:14 GMT
National currencies, cryptos and bonds fell, while stocks and commodities were mixed. The worst losses were in Ethereum, down 10.7%, and the CCi30 index, down 9.0%, followed by Bitcoin, down 4.9%. The largest gains were in copper, up 4.2%, and crude oil, up 2.0%. More on Weekly Update 10 Jan 2025

2024 Annual Review

via PricedInGold.com by editor@pricedingold.com (Charles Vollum) on Mon, 13 Jan 2025 17:07:07 GMT
This post takes a similar form to the weekly updates, but covers a longer time period, looking back 1, 2, 5, and 10 years. Ethereum and the CCi30 Crypto Index have no entry for 10 years ago, as their price data starts in 2015, but they will be included next year. Most of the table is red, meaning that just holding gold would have outperformed those assets over that time period. Green areas indicate the assets have outperformed gold. These are in crypto currencies, US stocks, and coffee. More on 2024 Annual Review

A Conventional Boy

via Charlie's Diary by Charlie Stross on Fri, 03 Jan 2025 15:12:22 GMT
I have a new book coming out on Tuesday 7th of January: it's A Conventional Boy, a short standalone novel in the Laundry Files. (It takes place at roughly the same time as The Rhesus Chart.) It's published in...

Vehicle Ramming Attacks in Public Spaces: Isn't Anyone Serious About Defense?

via The Skeptical Bureaucrat on Wed, 01 Jan 2025 19:45:00 GMT

















I don't wish to be too hard on the authorities in Magdeburg, Germany, and their costly durcheinanderbringen that left their Christmas market vulnerable to a vehicle ramming attack last month. Our own authorities in New Orleans did exactly the same stupid thing, and that one cost ten lives. The photo above is of the aftermath on Bourbon Street.  

There is quite the cultural difference between central Germany and New Orleans, of course. For instance, what German city would ever adopt the motto "Let the Good Times Roll?" It's easier for me to understand a huge security screw-up in New Orleans. 
"New Orleans resembles Genoa or Marseilles, or Beirut or the Egyptian Alexandria more than it does New York, although all seaports resemble one another more than they can resemble any place in the interior. Like Havana and Port-au-Prince, New Orleans is within the orbit of a Hellenistic world that never touched the North Atlantic. The Mediterranean, Caribbean and Gulf of Mexico form a homogeneous, though interrupted, sea." A. J. Liebling, THE EARL OF LOUISIANA
Did you ever read Confederacy of Dunces? That above quote is from the foreword. Totally true. New Orleans is the only place in North America - which includes Mexico, don't forget - where I've ever felt I needed a visa. 

A news report on yesterday's New Orleans attack is here

A set of security barriers that were installed in 2017 to prevent terrorist attacks along Bourbon Street were being replaced when a driver barreled down the city’s most famous thoroughfare hours into the New Year on Wednesday, killing 10 and injuring dozens. 

The removable stainless-steel bollards are designed to be securely locked at each crosswalk along Bourbon Street between Canal and St. Ann streets, according to Mayor LaToya Cantrell's administration. The attack occurred near the intersection of Bourbon and Iberville streets. 

New Orleans Police Superintendent Anne Kirkpatrick said the suspect drove “at a very fast pace” down Bourbon Street about 3:15 a.m., striking dozens, and then shot at first responders after crashing. Two officers were struck and are in stable condition. The suspect, too, was shot and has died. The FBI is investigating the incident as a terrorist attack. 

The bollard project began in November and was scheduled to last three months. It involves removing and replacing sections of road to take out the existing bollards. A city press release on Tuesday night noted the project was ongoing, but did not provide details of work done thus far.

The old barriers never worked too well, said Bob Simms, who until recently oversaw security initiatives for the French Quarter Management District. 

'They were very ineffective. The track was always full of crap; beads and doubloons and God knows what else. Not the best idea,” Simms said. “Eventually everybody realized the need to replace them. They’re in the process of doing that, but the new ones are not yet operational.” 

Simms said the old barrier at the crosswalk of Canal and Bourbon streets was removed a few weeks ago. Equipment for a replacement is in place, he said. 

"They're doing it in time for the Super Bowl," Simms said. "It's ironic in a way." 

-- snip -- 

Simms said preventing the kind of carnage that took place early Wednesday was "exactly what [the bollards were] built for." 

The bollards were put in place before NBA All-Star Game in 2017. The plan was partly a reaction to the July 2016 mass murder in Nice, France, when a terrorist used a truck as a weapon to plow into a Bastille Day crowd, killing 86 and injuring hundreds more. A few months later a copycat killed 12 shoppers in a Berlin Christmas market. 

That's a major screw-up in any language. 

The still-fairly-serious press is now paying attention, and today the NYT has an article about the rising threat of vehicle ramming attacks, and it's NOT barricaded behind a paywall, so they must really want you to read it. 

You'll find there links to an FBI handout and also a British academic journal article from 2019, both about the spectacularly obvious tactic of vehicle ramming. In short, ramming attacks have left a death toll that exceeds that of almost any vehicle bomb attack. 

The NYT article ends with these two last paragraphs:
“The problem in the most recent case [in Germany] is that the perpetrator used a lane reserved for ambulances,” said Nicolas Stockhammer, a professor of security studies at Danube University in Krems, Austria. “He approached the area through a side where there was no protection.”
The city of New Orleans was upgrading security bollards along a section of Bourbon Street in the area where the attack occurred, according to its website. The city’s police superintendent said at a news conference that the perpetrator “went around our barricades” to conduct the attack.
So, it appears that our best intellectual talent in security studies and our foremost municipal police leaderships are capable of appreciating the threat of vehicle ramming attacks. 

That's good. But the NYT ends the matter there. It doesn't take the next step and ask our responsible officials why those attacks have been succeeding. 

The answer to that question is BECAUSE YOU DID'NT BLOCK VEHICLE ACCESS TO YOUR CITIES' MOST ATTRACTIVE TARGETS, that's why. You left gaps open and unprotected which the attackers could exploit. 

Are you not as serious about defense as your attackers are about offense? 

It's all the more aggravating that our responsible officials already know how to counter those attacks, since they know our federal government has done just that for decades around its domestic and overseas buildings. They know better but they did a half-assed job anyway. 

Maybe we citizens and voters might now ask those responsible officials why they have been derelict in their basic duty of public safety. 

German Chancellor Vows to Leave No Merkelstein Unturned

via The Skeptical Bureaucrat on Mon, 30 Dec 2024 21:28:00 GMT
It’s beginning to look a lot like elections 
Voters a bit subnormal, 
Saying Olaf, Was zum Teufel?, it’s hard to be real joyful
When vehicle barriers aren’t so uniformal 

It’s beginning to look a lot like elections 
Politics are all amoral, 
But the prettiest sight to see is the scapegoat that might be
Nailed to your own front door 


A bit of news today on that Christmas market attack and the inevitable search for the officials who dropped the ball by allowing a big, obvious, vulnerable gap in the market's anti-ram perimeter. Read it here
German security and intelligence chiefs faced questioning Monday about the car-ramming attack that killed five people and wounded more than 200 at a Christmas market 10 days ago. 

They were to be quizzed about possible missed clues and security failures before the December 20 attack in the eastern city of Magdeburg, where police arrested a Saudi psychiatrist, Taleb al-Abdulmohsen, at the scene. 

-- snip -- 

Chancellor Olaf Scholz, who faces a general election in February, has declared that Germany needs to "investigate whether this terrible act could have been prevented".

"No stone must be left unturned," he told news portal T-online on Friday. 
No stone? As in no Merklestein? Precisely, Herr Chancellor! 

A gap left in an otherwise continuous perimeter of anti-ram barriers was exactly what allowed that ramming attack to happen at the Magdelburg Christmas market. 

Someone was careless, and I suspect you have already expended some typical German efficiency in lining up a few likely suspects, probably low-ranking and expendable ones. 

All’s that left is to hang him or them out to dry before those general elections. 


Wrongfully Detained, But No Longer Biden's Problem

via The Skeptical Bureaucrat on Sun, 29 Dec 2024 23:20:00 GMT
The friends and family of Marc Fogel, the U.S. citizen and teacher who was arrested in Moscow on drug charges back in 2021, have been making a public pitch for him to be designated as wrongfully detained under the Robert Levinson Act, but that had seemed to go nowhere. In all frankness, the guy was simply guilty as charged and caught red-handed. I posted much more on that at the time he was convicted: see this

However, something seems to have moved the Biden Administration to designate him anyway, and after all this time, just three weeks before they leave office. What motivated that, I wonder? 

A few good news media quotes here
An American schoolteacher arrested in Russia on drug charges more than four years ago has been designated by the U.S. government as wrongfully detained, the State Department said Friday.
“The United States has been working to secure Marc Fogel’s release for some time. We have long called for his humanitarian release and tried to include him in the August 1 deal, but were unable to. The Secretary determined Marc is wrongfully detained in October," the department said in a statement.
The designation traditionally shifts supervision of a detainee's case to the office of the Special Presidential Envoy for Hostage Affairs, a State Department office focused on negotiating for the release of hostages and other Americans classified as being wrongfully detained in other countries.
-- snip --
The State Department considers a range of factors in deciding whether to designate an American jailed in a foreign country as wrongfully detained, including if there's credible information that the person is innocent. The factors also include if they are being held for the primary purpose of influencing U.S. policy or securing concessions from the U.S. government.
Officials confirmed Friday that Fogel had now received that designation.
So, which consideration is it that moves the Biden Admin to act now? Does it think Fogel is innocent? Or does it think he's being used to either influence U.S. policy or to secure concessions from the USG? Those seem to be the only considerations that would make the Robert Levinson Act apply.  

I can't imagine which it is because they are all equally absurd. He's plainly guilty on the charge of smuggling weed, and he is not the kind of important character whom the Russians would try to barter for in policy or other concessions. 

It would not be disparaging to him if we consider Mr. Fogel to be a routine consular case of a citizen imprisoned abroad. Push for humanitarian parole from his 14-year sentence, but that's all. 

Why in the world should we give his family false hopes of a negotiated release now? 

 

American Hanukkah

via The Zelman Partisans by Sheila Stokes on Tue, 24 Dec 2024 08:17:58 GMT
It’s that wonderful time of year when we celebrate Hanukkah. Hanukkah means “dedication”, as in cleaning and purifying the Beit HaMikdash, the Holy Temple after it had been defiled. I’ve written a lot about Hanukkah, what happened and why. But I’m going to touch on a few of the elements to explain why America is … Continue reading American Hanukkah

Weekly Update 23 Dec 2024 Happy Holidays!

via PricedInGold.com by editor@pricedingold.com (Charles Vollum) on Mon, 23 Dec 2024 15:13:10 GMT
National currencies rose, cryptos and stocks fell, and bonds and commodities were mixed. The worst losses were in the CCi30 index, down 10.7%, and Ethereum, down 9.8%, followed by silver, down 4.8%. The largest gains were in coffee, up 2.9%, and the Chinese Yuan, up 2.2%. More on Weekly Update 23 Dec 2024 Happy Holidays!

Magdeburg Christmas Market Mass Killing: Where Were the Merklesteins?

via The Skeptical Bureaucrat on Sat, 21 Dec 2024 18:05:00 GMT

"Merklesteins," or Merkle stones, is the name the German press gave to the vehicle barriers that appeared around Christmas markets after a vehicle attack was committed at the Berlin market in 2016.

For a couple years after that I did annual posts on the increasingly efficient and often aesthetic Merklesteins that went up in German cities and elsewhere. See this one, for instance, or click on the Merklestein tab below. 

Those barriers had gotten pretty good, and they ought to have precluded more vehicle attacks. So I was highly interested in how the attacker yesterday was able to drive into the Magdeburg market seemingly with no problem.

The answer is in today's UK and German news: it was because the Magdeburg city authorities left a gap in the market's anti-ram barrier perimeter that the attacker could exploit. 

From today's:The Telegraph:
Local authorities in Magdeburg are giving a press conference. The main theme has been how the killer was able to drive his car past a security perimeter.
A police official said that the killer exploited the fact that gaps had been left in the perimeter to allow for ambulances to get in and out.
City officials have said that gaps between bollards were there as an escape route for emergency services but that they were guarded by the police.
“I think our security concept is good because it was coordinated,” said Ronni Krug, a spokesperson for the city hall.
The case we are now discussing here is one that we could not have anticipated in terms of its dimensions and that perhaps could not have been prevented.”
Questions had been raised after the attack about why there were such big gaps between bollards at entrances to the Christmas market.

That the gaps "were guarded by police" presumably means that one or two officers stood next to them and maybe waived high visibility 'stop' signs. Evidently it does not mean that the gaps were covered by active anti-ram barriers that police could lower in the event that an emergency vehicle needed access but which would otherwise remain up. 

I find it appalling that city hall spokesman Ronni Krug would say that yesterday's attack could not have been anticipated or prevented. All European nations have security and anti-terrorism professionals who could have seen that perimeter vulnerability and would indeed have anticipated that attack. After all, the attacker saw and did just that.  

Not to be too hard on spokesman Krug, but he exemplifies the naïve mindset of the instinctively law-abiding citizen and Bürgermeister. The mindset of yesterday's attacker will perpetually be a mystery to them. 

That's a problem because someone who does not share at least some of the mindset of his adversaries is simply out of place doing vulnerability assessments. Yesterday's attacker could have told spokesman Krug and the rest of the crowd at city hall that their security concept was really no good at all if they wanted to stop vehicle ramming attacks. 

City hall - and not just the one in Magdeburg - is paying the price for not employing someone who will look at potential targets from their would-be attacker's point of view. 

   

Storm cloud approaching rapidly

via Charlie's Diary by Charlie Stross on Sat, 21 Dec 2024 14:09:25 GMT
This, from Techcrunch, seems like a good summary of a bad situation facing this blog: Death Of A Forum: How The UK's Online Safety Act Is Killing Communities. This blog is just that: my personal blog, with comments. Over the...

Weekly Update 13 Dec 2024

via PricedInGold.com by editor@pricedingold.com (Charles Vollum) on Mon, 16 Dec 2024 13:40:33 GMT
Only Crude oil, up 5.2%, and Bitcoin, up 0.5%, made gains this week, all other assets were in the red. The worst losses were in long term bonds, down 5.3%, and coffee, down 4.3%, followed by the CCi30 crypto index, off 3.9%. More on Weekly Update 13 Dec 2024

I have a cunning plan ...

via Charlie's Diary by Charlie Stross on Sat, 14 Dec 2024 13:25:09 GMT
Because we are obviously living in the silliest, darkest time line—or maybe the darkest, silliest time line—Donald Trump's pick to lead American healthcare next year, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., is an anti-vaxxer crank. And this week the New York Times...

A Season of Light

via The Zelman Partisans by Sheila Stokes on Wed, 11 Dec 2024 08:56:25 GMT
We are fast approaching Hanukkah (and Christmas) both of which center around light, though for much different reasons, both also have a theme of freedom, though also for far different reasons. But what is common, is spreading light tends to reveal things that had been hiding in the darkness, in the shadows. It seems like … Continue reading A Season of Light

Hillary is Guilty (193 Classified Emails According to DOJ), Stop Pretending Otherwise

via The Skeptical Bureaucrat on Mon, 09 Dec 2024 21:13:00 GMT

And she got away with it scot-free. Isn't that enough? 

Now stop the whining and just hope that FBI Director Patel will be too busy elsewhere to look into that cold case.
 

The Bureau Meets Bollywood (Or, There's a New Sherif in Town)

via The Skeptical Bureaucrat on Sat, 07 Dec 2024 14:16:00 GMT
 

This is exactly how I imagine Kash Patel's first day as Director of the FBI will go.

J. Edgar Hoover eat your heart out! This new era will have more flamboyant costumes and sizzling romance than even you could have imagined.   

Seasonal discount (of Skulls)

via Charlie's Diary by Charlie Stross on Fri, 06 Dec 2024 13:49:20 GMT
My US publisher, Tor.com, is discounting the most recent Laundry Files/New Management novel, Season of Skulls, to $2.99 in all North American ebook stores this month (December 2024). The price of the ebook will go back up in January....

What SF/F genre tropes should I tackle next?

via Charlie's Diary by Charlie Stross on Wed, 04 Dec 2024 13:34:09 GMT
The subject here needs some unpacking ... Over the past 20+ years I've published a bunch of novels (over 30 at last count) and a couple of short story collections. In that time I've covered a bunch of tropes, that...

It’s Not Really About Guns or Justice

via The Zelman Partisans by Sheila Stokes on Tue, 26 Nov 2024 07:46:54 GMT
Over the last couple of weeks or so, as the top stories of the day make their way through the news a couple of things have become clear, to me at least. But maybe I just need more coffee. Story #1 The Daniel Penny trial. Mr. Penny is a Marine veteran who was minding his … Continue reading It’s Not Really About Guns or Justice

“Colorful Absurdity”

via The Ultimate Answer to Kings by Joel on Fri, 22 Nov 2024 18:55:27 GMT
I heard that phrase in passing this morning, and it got me thinking about the wonderful/horrifying Pageant of Puerile Potentates that has entertained me for free for most of this year. In what I hope is a slow halting slog … Continue reading

Hack On Self: The Un-Crash Alarm

via Hackaday by Arya Voronova on Fri, 22 Nov 2024 18:00:17 GMT
Ever get home, tired after work, sit down on a couch, and spend an hour or two sitting down without even managing to change into your home clothes? It’s a …read more

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