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via by Tyler Durden on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 14:30:00 GMT
Submitted by Constantin Gurdgiev via True Economics blog,
EU's Fiscal Discipline in one table: here is a summary of the EU member states' performance when it comes to 3% deficit ceiling set out as a core fiscal criteria:
Yes, even after a large scale fiscal 'retrenching' of 2016, on average, EU member states have been outside satisfying fiscal deficit ceiling criteria 41 percent of the time, with EA12 average being worse - at 43 percent.
Six EU states are more than just serial violators of the rule, with their respective frequencies of falling outside the rule constraints being in excess of 2/3rds. It is worth noting that in this group, all states are violating rules predominantly during the years of economic expansion.
Another 11 states are frequent violators, breaking the rule more than 1/3rd of the time but less than 2/3rds. Here too, with exception of Cyprus and Slovenia, more violations took place during the times of expanding economies than during the periods of recessions. All in, 17 states of the EU are breaking the EU fiscal rule on deficit ceilings more than 1/3rd of the time.
Only 7 states break the rule less than 25 percent of the time and only 5 break the rule less than 10 percent of the time.
Surely, nothing to worry about.
via Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 14:23:00 GMT
The casino giant rebounded in 2016, but is there any upside left for the stock?via Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 14:16:00 GMT
Chevron has split its shares several times in the past, but it's been a long time since its last move.via by Tyler Durden on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 14:09:49 GMT
After laying silent since a November tweet in which he promised to "be an independent observer at the U.S. 2016 election," Guccifer 2.0 has returned with a new blog post slamming the "fake evidence" presented by the "FBI/DHS/NSA reports."
Here I am again, my friends! Check my new post about FBI/DHS/NSA reports & their fake evidence #Guccifer2 https://t.co/Low4v1qCQx
— GUCCIFER 2.0 (@GUCCIFER_2) January 12, 2017
While DHS/DNI issued a joint statement in October 2016 linking Guccifer 2.0 to the Russian Government, in today's blog post the hacker declares that he has "totally no relation to the Russian government" and that he was only acting "in accordance with my personal political views and beliefs."
With that brief intro, the hacker then attacked the U.S. intelligence community's "technical evidence" on "Russian hacking," calling their reports a "crude fake." He goes on to point out, as have others, that the malware noted in the technical report is "commonly available" on the web and was likely only referenced in an effort to make the report seem more credible.
Here is the full statement posted to Guccifer 2.0's blog:
I really hope you’ve missed me a lot. Though I see they didn’t let you forget my name. The U.S. intelligence agencies have published several reports of late claiming I have ties with Russia.
I’d like to make it clear enough that these accusations are unfounded. I have totally no relation to the Russian government. I’d like to tell you once again I was acting in accordance with my personal political views and beliefs.
The technical evidence contained in the reports doesn’t stand up to scrutiny. This is a crude fake.
Any IT professional can see that a malware sample mentioned in the Joint Analysis Report was taken from the web and was commonly available. A lot of hackers use it. I think it was inserted in the report to make it look a bit more plausible.
I already explained at The Future of Cyber Security Europe conference that took place in London in last September, I had used a different way to breach into the DNC network. I found a vulnerability in the NGP VAN software installed in the DNC system.
It’s obvious that the intelligence agencies are deliberately falsifying evidence. In my opinion, they’re playing into the hands of the Democrats who are trying to blame foreign actors for their failure.
The Obama administration has a week left in office and I believe we’ll see some more fakes during this period.
I guess you have a lot of questions for me. So, feel free to send them via DM.
While we can't confirm many of the claims above, we have little doubt in his assertion that the Obama administration has much left to accomplish in their last week in the White House.
via Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 14:06:00 GMT
The company is spending its hard-earned cash on proprietary data and building its brand in the process.via Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 14:03:00 GMT
Disclosing its 2016 prescription drug price increases is a double-edged sword.via by Tyler Durden on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:57:01 GMT
While headline PPI came in at 0.3% on a sequential basis, as expected, and rose 1.6% on the year, also in line with expectations, it was the core PPI that came in modestly hotter than expected, printing at 0.2%, above the expected 0.1%, and rose 1.6% Y/Y, above the 1.5% expected, and far above the -1.1% drop reported one year ago.The headline jump was driven by a spike in energy prices, as final demand energy rose 2.6% in December. Accounting for almost half of the December jump in final demand goods prices, the index for gasoline climbed 7.8% , while heating oil was up 9.6%.
Away from the non-core energy and gasoline prices, the headline PPI rise was driven, surprisingly, mostly by "prices for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services" which advanced 4.4%. In other words, brokers are capitalizing on the rush by retail investors to jump in the market and are hiking prices.
Nonetheless, on an annual basis, the 1.6% increase in PPI was the highest since August 2014.
Broken down between goods and service:

The breakdown:
The breakdown between goods and services:
Final demand goods: Prices for final demand goods jumped 0.7 percent in December, the largest increase since a 0.7-percent rise in June. Sixty percent of the December broad-based advance can be traced to the index for final demand energy, which climbed 2.6 percent. Prices for final demand goods less foods and energy rose 0.3 percent, and the final demand foods index increased 0.7 percent.
Accounting for almost half of the December jump in final demand goods prices, the index for gasoline climbed 7.8 percent. Prices for light motor trucks, jet fuel, iron and steel scrap, chicken eggs, and liquefied petroleum gas also increased. In contrast, the index for fresh fruits and melons fell 13.6 percent. Prices for residential electric power and for plastic resins and materials also decreased.
* * *
Final demand services: The index for final demand services inched up 0.1 percent in December after increasing 0.5 percent in November. About 70 percent of the December advance can be attributed to prices for final demand services less trade, transportation, and warehousing, which rose 0.2 percent. The index for final demand trade services also advanced 0.2 percent. (Trade indexes measure changes in margins received by wholesalers and retailers.) Conversely, prices for final demand transportation and warehousing services declined 0.4 percent.
Most of the December increase in the index for final demand services can be traced to prices for securities brokerage, dealing, investment advice, and related services, which advanced 4.4 percent. The indexes for machinery, equipment, parts, and supplies wholesaling; apparel, footwear, and accessories retailing; food retailing; and health, beauty, and optical goods retailing also moved higher. In contrast, prices for airline passenger services fell 2.4 percent. The indexes for fuels and lubricants retailing, loan services (partial), and apparel wholesaling also decreased.
* * *
In short, in December, the price of gasoline and heating surged, brokerage fees jumped, and everything else was largely in line as airplane tickets dropped while the price of fruits and melons tumbled.
via Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:40:00 GMT
Our contributors put together a diverse list of stocks with bigger dividends than ExxonMobil. Whether you're looking for an energy stock, or just a solid income investment, one of the stocks on this list could be exactly what you're looking for.via by Tyler Durden on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:38:57 GMT
Yesterday's confidence data showed a retracement in the 'Trump Bump' and now, just as BofA had predicted, US Retail Sales disappointed across the board in December. The Control Group rose just 0.2% MoM (missing expectations of a 0.4% rise) but it was Ex-Auto-and-Gas that missed the most (unchanged in December against expectations of a 0.4% surge) that was most worrisome as it appears Americans bought cars and not much else.
Earlier this week Bank of America warned that December retail sales could come in weaker than expected, when it looked at its internal credit and debt card spending data and found a 1.0% drop. Moments ago the official data released from the Dept of Commerce confirmed that once again BofA was right, when it announced that in December, US retail spending rose 0.6%, below the expected 0.7%, however much of this was thanks to spending on cars and gas. If one excludes autos, the rise was only 0.2%, below the 0.5% expected, and if one also excludes gas, there was no increase in spending in December whatsoever.

In fact this is the weakest year-over-year retail sales since Feb 2014...
Full Breakdown... Only gasoline and Auto sales rose notably...
This disappinting data should not be a total surprise.
via Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:24:00 GMT
Mixed views of this biotech's lead drug kept the market guessing last year.via Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:21:00 GMT
Find out what has sent these winners higher and whether they have more room to run.via by Tyler Durden on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:18:14 GMT
In a report that was somewhat similar to that of Bank of America, JPM reported Q4 revenues of $23.4 billion, beating estimates of $23.1 billion, on EPS of $1.71, far higher than the expected $1.42, which however like in the case of BofA was due to a cut in expenses, which came in at $6.87 billion, far below the $7.2 billion, suggesting even greater expense - i.e. compensation - reductions.
While JPM's net Interest Income was up $553mm YoY and up $163mm QoQ, this happened even as NIM declined by 2bps QoQ. That said, like BofA, JPM said it expects firmwide net interest income to be up "modestly" QoQ.
On the key, trading side, JPM reported that while investment banking revenue rose by $17mm Y/Y to $1.49 billion, it missed expectations of $1.59bn, and while FICC of $3.37 billion rose by $795 million, beating expectations of $3.26 bn, equity markets revenue of $1.15 billion came in weaker than the $1.29 billion expected.
Some details from the report:
The better than expected net income in the investment bankin group was mostly the result of a big drop in expense of $4.2B, which was down 6% YoY, driven by lower compensation and lower legal expense.
Another highlight: net charge offs in the bank's credit card services group jumped from $838 million to $914 million, the highest since Q2 2013.
Finally, JPM's loan loss reserves of 13.8B rose $0.2B from $13.6B in the prior year.
Full presentation below:
via Len Penzo dot Com by Len Penzo on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:15:00 GMT
I’ve said before and I’ll say it again: When it comes to money management, one of the most important pieces of information anyone can have is a detailed summary of where your household income was spent during the previous year. I’ve been diligently using an Excel spreadsheet for 19 years now to track almost every […]via by TDB on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:09:00 GMT
Via The Daily Bell
Trump Needs Vaccine Experts, Not Conspiracy Theorists … Trump could have turned to any number of reputable experts to learn about vaccine safety. Instead, he went straight for the fringe. -Daily Beast
Donald Trump supposedly picked Robert Kennedy Jr. to head a commission on vaccines and autism, causing a good deal of anxiety among mainstream media.
Trump has since denied that any decision has been made, but Kennedy has been telling people the offer was extended and presumably accepted.
This is the same mainstream media that take a huge bundles of cash from pharmaceutical advertisers. Because of this it is hard to tell how many spokespeople are genuinely behind government pro-vaccine positions and how many are merely doing what they’re told when it comes to voicing hyper-partisan positions.
They’re certainly a lot of pro-vaccine types in the world and they have a lot of negatives about diminishing vaccines in the slightest or in any other way cutting back on them.
Imagine you’re the president-elect of the United States and you wanted to know more about vaccine safety … Donald Trump … turned to two … people. First, he turned to Andrew Wakefield, the British researcher who in 1998 published a paper in the Lancet claiming that the measles-mumps-rubella (MMR) vaccine caused autism.
In August 2016, Trump met with Wakefield. At the time they met, a British journalist named Brian Deer had already found that Wakefield’s paper had misrepresented clinical data, biological data, and the sources of funding for the work. For these reasons, the Lancet retracted the paper and the General Medical Council in England stripped Wakefield of his license to practice medicine.
… Apparently, at least according to Wakefield, there has been a vast international conspiracy to hide the truth—a conspiracy that involves hundreds of researchers in seven countries on three continents, all deeply in the pocket of the pharmaceutical industry.
On Jan. 10, 2017, Donald Trump then turned to one more person for information about vaccine safety: Robert F. Kennedy Jr. Kennedy believes that thimerosal, an ethyl-mercury-containing preservative that hasn’t been used in vaccines given to young children since 2001, is causing severe developmental delays including autism.
So Trump may have asked both Wakefield and Kennedy to provide him formal input on vaccines. Wakefield in particular is anathema to vaccine partisans. They’ve done everything they can to kill him and his career short of outright murder.
Kennedy is just as bad from their point of view. Kennedy has been after thimerosal, which is still supposedly a vaccine additive, and one he says can do a great deal of damage. This Daily Beast article claims Kennedy is confused and making charges that don’t exist.
Why does Kennedy also persist? The article asks. The answer is the same: Conspiracy.
But the article never follows up on the so-called conspiracy. It never discusses the summary of test results years ago that supposedly confirmed autism’s prevalence that were never made public.
It never discusses the unfairness of Wakefield apparent expulsion as a doctor in the UK. It never talks about question regarding those who persecuted Wakefield.
It talks about a conspiracy but never discusses specific charges. This is because in part discussing such charges would inevitably involve dealing with specific evidence. Such evidence is at least a good deal more gray than these articles suggest.
The article concludes by saying Donald Trump is a lucky man and can avail himself of the best advisors the vaccine community has to offer. But all the names the article offers up are pro-vaccine.
Donald Trump himself is not anti-vaccine. He has questions about massive vaccine doses being mandated at a young age. Such doses, he believes along with others, may be causing reactions in certain children including autism. He apparently beleives parent should have a choice about vaccines.
Conclusion: Thatese are surely not such bad ideas. And worth investigating.
Other st0ries:
via Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:08:00 GMT
Nuclear power is bigger than investors think, which means uranium demand is set to grow in the years aheadvia Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:07:00 GMT
Belviq's weak sales weighed heavily on Arena's stock last year.via by Tyler Durden on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:06:49 GMT
Submitted by Josie Wales via TheAntiMedia.org,
The Obama administration just handed even more power to the incoming Trump administration to invade the privacy of American citizens. The recent approval of new procedures for an existing executive order will allow the NSA to share the private data it collects with all 16 agencies of the United States intelligence community. The 23-page outline of the new procedures lifts previous limits placed on the way information was filtered before being disseminated to individual agencies.
“As he hands the White House to Trump, Obama just unchained NSA from basic limits on passing raw intercepts to others,” NSA whistleblower Edward Snowden tweeted Thursday.
As he hands the White House to Trump, Obama just unchained NSA from basic limits on passing raw intercepts to others https://t.co/JkbJhTrUsI
— Edward Snowden (@Snowden) January 12, 2017
Gone are the already-flimsy privacy protections that required NSA analysts to review data before handing it over to other agencies like the CIA, DEA, DHS, or others. Whereas prior restrictions required analysts to shield the identities of innocent parties and other personal data before sharing only the information deemed pertinent, there are now no filters whatsoever.
All agencies will have the freedom to dig through “raw signals intelligence information” under the new procedures, which were signed by Attorney General Loretta E. Lynch. After evaluating the information, the agencies can apply rules “minimizing” violations of privacy. That’s correct — only after privacy has been violated can it be protected. That’s not exactly how it works, but it is now the law according to Section 2.3 of Executive Order 12333.
The document was originally signed on December 15, 2016, by the director of national intelligence, James R. Clapper Jr. According to Clapper’s general counsel, Robert S. Litt:
“This is not expanding the substantive ability of law enforcement to get access to signals intelligence. It is simply widening the aperture for a larger number of analysts, who will be bound by the existing rules.”
ACLU lawyer Pat Toomey disagrees, explaining:
“Rather than dramatically expanding government access to so much personal data, we need much stronger rules to protect the privacy of Americans. Seventeen different government agencies shouldn’t be rooting through Americans’ emails with family members, friends and colleagues, all without ever obtaining a warrant.”
The new procedures require agencies to submit written requests to the NSA describing the raw signals intelligence sought, how it will be used, how it will further its mission in a significant way, and why the information could not be obtained through other sources. While the purpose of Executive Order 12333 is to target foreign and counter-intelligence only, if an agency uncovers information that incriminates an American citizen, the agency is required to turn the evidence over to the Justice Department. Many of the requirements listed in the document for targeting American citizens have been redacted.
And if all else fails, any U.S. Intelligence Agency can legally obtain personal information on any citizen with no warrant under Section 702 of the FISA Amendments Act. However, with these new procedures in place, that may not be necessary anymore.
If Barack Obama is so concerned about a Trump presidency, why is he giving the future president such a terrifying amount of power?
via Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:06:00 GMT
A 401(k) loan should be your last resort, because it comes with major problems and risks.via Motley Fool Headlines by on Fri, 13 Jan 2017 13:05:00 GMT
The Blue Oval had a strong year; 2017 should also be good, but CEO Mark Fields says that profits will be down. Here's why.